Andrew Luck - NFL Wild Card Saturday Picks

AFC Wild Card: Saturday – 4:00 PM, NBC

#5 Kansas City Chiefs at #4 Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) – These two teams met just three weeks ago at Arrowhead with Andrew Luck Colts winning going away 23-7. Weird part about that is the Chiefs led 7-0 and then were outscored 23-zippy the rest of the way in a game they needed to grasp at winning the AFC West title. But that was then and this is now. And out of the four games on Wild Card weekend, this one is the one I have the least amount of vibe on.

On one hand, Luck and the Colts are at home and have won 4 straight. On the other, the Chiefs have been one of the most consistent teams all year and have a very opportunistic defense who seem to score weekly. Andy Reid turned a 2 win team into one that has a legitimate shot of making the AFC Championship, at the very least. But that will depend a lot on how QB Alex Smith (game manager) plays because I have a feeling Luck is going to ball. Indy 27-24.

Nuggets: Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Colts are 7-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

NFC Wild Card: Saturday –  8:10 PM, NBC

#6 New Orleans Saints at #3 Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) – If Andrew Luck is my NFL man crush, then dreamy Drew Brees is my side-piece. As predicted on the BSR Podcast, Brees threw for another 5K in yards this season and helped his Saints into the playoffs with a solid 11-5 record. Problem is 8 of those wins came in the comfy confines of the Superdome and although Brees did go to Purdue, his outdoor record isn’t exactly sparkling. Add in the element of sub 20 degree temps in the City of Brotherly Love at game time and you can see why the Eagles are favored.

And speaking of those Eagles, head coach Chip Kelly has brought his blur offense to the NFL and for the most part it has worked out. I say for the most part because it has had it’s up and down, though a NFC East Crown and a 10-6 record ain’t too shabby for a first year former college coach. But what is the real story is QB Nick Foles and his emergence since taking over for dog-lover Mick Vick early this season. All this former Arizona Wildcat has done is in 13 games is throw for 2900 yards with an absurd 27/2 TD to Int ratio. His 8-2 record as a starter doesn’t suck either.

This one if played indoors might shatter the postseason point total by both teams. But since it’s going to be played outside, in front of 75K Santa hating Philly maniacs, I expect Pat’s and Gino’s Cheese steaks to be packed with drunk, Eagles fans come late Saturday night. Eagles 31-17

Nuggets: The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Eagles 4-0ATS this year when giving up more than 300 yards passing in the previous game.

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