Running backs are always the most wanted first round position. Unlike QB’s you need multiple RB’s. And unlike WR there aren’t over 100 starters at the position. So it is highly important to have a good RB committee. You must have a legitimate #1 RB to be successful. As long as an NFL RB is in a starting position they usually have success. So you need to weed out the guys who will lose carries to other guys and who don’t have very good offensive lines protecting them. Here are top RB’s for the 2011 season.
1. Adrian Peterson
2. Ray Rice
3. Arian Foster
4. Chris Johnson
5. LeSean McCoy
6. Jamaal Charles
7. Rashard Mendenhall
8. LaGarrette Blount
9. Michael Turner
10. Maurice Jones-Drew
11. Beanie Wells
12. Ahmad Bradshaw
13. Ryan Matthews
14. Matt Forte
15. Felix Jones
16. Darren McFadden
17. Shonn Greene
18. Daniel Thomas
19. Peyton Hillis
20. Knowshon Moreno
21. Jahvid Best
22. CJ Spiller
23. DeAngelo Williams
24. Frank Gore
25. Steven Jackson
26. James Starks
27. Reggie Bush
28. Tim Hightower
29. Mark Ingram
30. Marshawn Lynch
31. Ryan Grant
32. Jonathan Stewart
33. Fred Jackson
34. Montario Hardesty
35. Bernard Scott
36. Rashad Jennings
37. Pierre Thomas
38. BenJarvus Green-Ellis
39. Mike Tolbert
40. Cedric Benson
41. Delone Carter
42. LaDainian Tomlinson
43. Joseph Addai
44. Brandon Jacobs
45. Michael Bush
I know its not much of a reach to get Adrian Peterson at #2 overall in this year’s draft, but that’s kind of a steal if you have the #2 pick. Peterson had a down season last year. And with his talent he easily bounces back to being the #1 guy in fantasy football. He still has plenty of years left in his tank, and I believe that his biggest season is still yet to come.
Ray Rice will also have his biggest season. This is another guy who had a down year last year but came on very strong at the end. He is going to run like a beast and get plenty of passes. He is the complete package. Arian Foster scored the most points last year, but to be honest he kinda overachieved. Foster is still good, and that’s why he is my number 3 guy, but Ray Rice is simply better than him. After Foster comes back down to earth and Rice returns to form their isn’t a very big comparison between the two. Rice is that much better.
Yup I still have Chris Johnson at #4 because I believe he will be starting week 1. So much like Peyton Manning if he falls get him. If he falls out of the top 5 you need to get him. He was the best RB in the league 2 years ago and is still young. He does everything. Nobody runs quite like him, and he is great for PPR leagues. If there wasn’t a chance that he would miss a few weeks I would have him in the top 2 of my rankings. So for now just take him. Worst case scenario is that he misses some weeks. If that’s the case then you’ll just have to wait for his elite numbers to return.
I’ve got LeSean McCoy over Charles and Mendenhall. I’m not saying there is anything wrong with Charles. Charles is as good as advertised. I just think some of these other guys are undervalued. Especially McCoy. LeSean scored the second most RB points last year behind Foster. So why did he drop? Is it the uncertainty of Vick? Well, you know by now that I don’t think Vick is going anywhere. And McCoy will just continue to get better and better. He hasn’t even come close to being the type of rusher he’s capable of being. Most of his points last year came through the air. So while he continues to get receiving yards expect his rushing yards to increase. The other mentioned guy, Mendenhall, is a solid first round pick too.
I have Blount much higher than where he is being drafted. If there is one thing you take away from any of my blogs this year make it this…..If you can draft Blount in round 3 you will make the playoffs. Blount is 3rd round pick that will put up 1st round numbers. Next year at this time he will be drafted in round 1. He is huge, strong, and powerful. He’s kind of like the football version of Mike Stanton. Expect him to put up major rushing yards on a young winning team that likes to pound the ball and control the clock to win.
So I have Michael Turner and Jones-Drew lower on my list than most sites. That doesn’t make them bad picks. In fact I like them both. I actually like 90% of all RB’s. My theory is that if your given the starting job, and you stay healthy, then you do well. Obviously the part that concerns me about both of these guys is the staying healthy part. Neither of them tend to do that. And that is why they have fallen down my board.
Beanie, Bradshaw, Matthews, Forte, Jones. All guys that I have higher on my list then where their average draft position is. Now that Beanie is by himself in the rushing game it is time for him to breakout. He is this year’s McFadden. Bradshaw is simply solid. Not elite, just solid. Forte is very good, but inconsistent. He puts up a few terrible weeks that can damage your team. If you know when to bench him your fine. Felix Jones is kinda under the same situation as Beanie, except he will still lose a few carries to some unknown guys. He isn’t quite as talented as Beanie, but is still ready to breakout. Speaking of McFadden, I don’t think he will repeat last year’s numbers. Be weary of him. He is not a good 1st round pick.
In my next group of guys there are some who are ready to have solid seasons, and there are some who are ready to decline. Greene solid. Thomas breakout. Hillis decline. Moreno solid. Best breakout. Spiller breakout. Williams decline. Gore decline. Jackson decline. Starks breakout. Greene I worry about health. Daniel Thomas is a great bargain considering he has as much upside as Ryan Matthews did last year. Matthews went in round 1 last year, so using a 6th round pick on Thomas is a great risk to take. Hillis is too risky to take in round 2, where he is being projected. Moreno is good, but is injury prone. Best and Spiller and good backs and should have pretty solid year’s. Spiller is good for PPR leagues. Not a big DeAngelo Williams fan. Gore and Jackson I haven’t liked for a few years. They are awful 2nd round picks. Starks I have ranked over Ryan Grant. I think Starks is a better back with more upside. Plus I don’t see Grant staying healthy.
I can see Reggie Bush and Tim Hightower having decent seasons. They make nice backups in new situations. Mark Ingram I’m iffy on. He is being drafted ahead of Daniel Thomas in most drafts, but I don’t see him having a better season. I just don’t think he is that great. Pretty simple.
The rest of these guys are only late round guys that you probably will never use anyways. If you are forced to use them then chances are you won’t be a playoff team anyways. I have a few guys in there like Hardesty, Scott, Jennings, and Carter that I like, but aren’t starters. If any of them ever get a starting role then they are must adds with plenty of value. For now I can’t expect any of them to start. Hardesty was a 2nd round pick in the NFL draft and has a lot of upside. If Hillis comes back down to earth then Hardesty could be a great 2nd half player. He is a guy I see breaking out in a few years, if not this year. It just depends on when he gets a starting role. Kind of like Michael Turner used to be.
Tight Ends tomorrow…..
Enjoyed this as usual Mark. Quick Question: I noticed that you seem down on the Colts running game entirely (Carter at #41, Addai at #43 and no Donal Brown). Is this due to uncertainty that you want to stay away from combined with a lack of an O-line? Clearly, if you could draft Colts RBs as a player you would do so before pick #40, right?
Whoops sorry. Make that you would do so before the 40th ranked RB?
Never been a big fan of their RB game. Since James all they really do is throw the ball. I don’t like Addai at all. He is never healthy. Carter is a good add if he ever gets to start. Stashing him on your bench or waiting until he is named starter to pick him up is smart. Since there is no guarantee he will ever start I couldn’t rank him very high. Even as a starter I like guys like Daniel Thomas and Ingram more.
Who is making these rankings…a toddler? I mean seriously…I know DMC is an injury risk but having…
8. LaGarrette Blount
9. Michael Turner
10. Maurice Jones-Drew
11. Beanie Wells
12. Ahmad Bradshaw
13. Ryan Matthews
14. Matt Forte
15. Felix Jones
All of these guys ahead of him is rediculous. I mean cmon…Beanie Wells…ru serious…Bradshaw who is going to be splitting carries with Jacobs…Ryan Mathews who isnt even proven yet and MJD who is an injury risk and half. Wow, I feel sorry anybody taking advice from this site.
I feel sorry for your English teacher. “Rediculous”?!? Nice work sporto! I hope you move up to the management job at the Pet Shop before they realize you’ve got no sense.
Wow, pointing out spelling errors ehh? What does a spelling error have to do with having no sense anyhow Carl? By the way, I’m the guy satisfying your wife, while your correcting other people’s spelling errors on-line. Fag.
Pete – on-line is one word – online.
your correcting should be you’re correcting.
having no sense anyhow – wow, no idea what to do with that one.
fag – haven’t heard that one since middle school, but in that is where you are in your life, it makes sense that you would use that one.
Satisfying my wife? How, by cleaning my garage?
Why don’t you read the whole article. He says flat out: Beanie, Bradshaw, Matthews, Forte, Jones. All guys that I have higher on my list then where their average draft position is, which means you can get them for a discount later in the draft because people like you will just use the Yahoo or ESPN rankings. Get the high upside guys later on instead of drafting DMC in the 2nd or 3rd since we all know that he will miss atleast 2 or 3 games. Not that hard to figure out.
I agree with Petey North. Of course, no one truly knows how each player will actually produce, but these ranking are absolutely ridiculous. You will not win your league if you follow this on draft day.
-Someone with common sense.
Let’s clarify on these rankings. These are my projections for how good these players actually are. I’m not saying to draft Beanie Wells in round 3 just because he’s ranked up there with round 3 guys. I’m saying that you need to draft him at his normal draft position. That way you get great value for the round you took him in. Just because my projections aren’t the same as every single other site in the world doesn’t make them wrong. It actually means that I am more accurate then every other site. Everyone always gets so wrapped up in average draft position and this guy has to go here just because that’s the status quo of where he’s drafted. Well I hate to tell you but ADP always comes out wrong at the end. So I can copy Yahoo’s rankings and feed you the same crap as everyone else or I can give you reality. If you want to read the same thing over and over then check Yahoo and CBS instead of BSR.
@Petey Pablo & @JWoww – You clowns run your mouth and like most others that are clueless you throw something out but cannot back up what you say.
For example… @Petey Pablo rocks the “Daisy Duke” shorts that have the pockets longer than the shorts, drops a spaghetti strapped tank top on, wears a flower in his hair and all his “Johns” call him “Dabu”… Ooops, wrong example, I can’t say he doesn’t do that cause I don’t have any facts that say he doesn’t.
Your a dork, seriously. I did back up my statements buddy, look at my post virgin.
“Your” an illiterate. Your (correct usage) posts are “rediculous”. Buy a dictionary before spouting off to the writer. I’d be much more inclined to listen to his advice than to pay any attention to someone who can barely command the English language. Your (again, correct usage)credibility is shot. Find a new place to spew your hate.
PETE NORTH – Fag? You called someone a fag? What are you a 12 year old little boy?
You backed nothing up goof! You gave your opinion! Two different things, ask your English teacher jackass.
And your going to talk about someone’s wife? That’s not cool Dabu. Especially since me and a couple brothers were running a train on your wife last night.
You’re the idiot that spends the night at the museum thinking the displays are going to come to life. And stop burning G.I. Joes and throwing rocks at cats, get your life together and apply for that “Walmart Greeter” job that your perfect for.
all bsr guys, chow change screen name to “chow” from “c.shumyungi” so when you see “chow” it me.
hey britch pete north you no mess with us. you wait 930am as mister spry come here and bust you down to size. pete noth you know no who you mess with cause chow no pray game with crowns. “rook at post virgin”, what that mean crown boy. mister spry and chow run gauntret on you as mister spry ring ice cream man horn. rike mister spry say, two four six eight pete north not appreciate. chow ripped with 6 case abs and 7 inch arm snakes. pete north a jack-a-roon
Chow – I couldn’t have said it better myself.
I agree Chow,,,,,,,,just like his name , I think pete north is nothing but a big prick,,,,,,,,he has no chance on this site………
I agree with a lot of the things you said Mark. Great article, but, I don’t agree with a few of the things you said. I agree Ray Rice is going to have a huge year but, I think Jamaal Charles will have a better one. He is clearly the most talented running back in the NFL, and I believe he could even end up as the number 1 back this year. The only thing that worries me is having Thomas Jones steal Touchdowns from JC. Also, I think Darren McFadden will be a Top 10 back this year. He is young, and really showed what he could do last year when he is actually healthy. If he stays healthy, he will be elite. In my fantasy draft, I got some steals at running back. I managed to grab McCoy, McFadden, Wells, and F. Jones as well as getting Calvin Johnson at receiver. Beanie will have a breakoutyear because he knows he will lose his job if he doesn’t. If he wants to keep Ryan Williams away next year, he’ll have to show he coaches he can produce yards and TD’s. Also, you ranking Gore at 24 astounds me. The only reason he won’t do well will be if he gets injured. He never gives up on plays and can pound it between the tackles as well as breaking out runs to he outside. I can understand the low ranking of S. Jackson because he appears to have slowed down tremendously in preseason. Again, fantastic job Mark.
Thank you all for reading. Please note that have am a diehard NFL fan and I know my Fantasy as well as anybody. I’ve won my league the past 3 out of 4 years. And I have predicted multiple breakout seasons. Drafted Arian Foster last year and started him in Week 1. Picked up Jamaal Charles and started him 2 years ago when he first broke out. When Turner was a back up on the Chargers, I predicted he’d be traded and become a Top 10 back. And lastly, I foresaw Dwayne Bowe to breakout last year when I picked him up immediately after someone dropped him in Week 2. I apologize for spelling errors, and grammar issues since I typed this on my iTouch.
I have a question? I have someone wanting Shonn Greene from my fantacy team and he hasn’t done good all year! Is there something I should know about him?