In the spirit of Jimmy the Greek, we’re going to offer you some stone cold locks this football weekend, or, just some spurious guesses based on cursory analysis and casual observation. Either way, this being Baltimore, we thought we’d hear from our favorite wholesale narcotics importer: the man known simply as “The Greek.”

Greek’s 2011 Record ATS: 15-19-1

Happy Thanksgiving readers. While not a plus week, Week 11 treated us much better than week 10 as we went 2-2-1 ATS. A touchdown called back for Cincinnati ended up being the push and thus wagering last week was like kissing your sister. To be honest, I never really understood that statement. It’s kinda disgusting, no? Anyway, tie doesn’t go to the runner in the wagering world. I’m feeling very confident in our week 12 picks as Thanksgiving was bountiful thus far in more ways than one. I hope that this Sunday has a Thursday feel to it and we’re climbing back toward .500 with a goal to be well above .500 by the end of the playoffs.

I hope Thanksgiving treated you well and that the weekend is filled with leftovers, family, friends, football and fun. Here are the week 12 choices.

Seattle Seahawks -3.5 over Washington Redskins
The Seahawks are 6-3-1 overall ATS and 3-1 ATS at CenturyLink Field. The Redskins are 2-3 ATS away from the nation’s capital and 3-5 ATS as a dog. The Sehawks are playing much better football than they did to begin the season winning 2 straight. Washington seems to have lost their Superbowl last week against the Cowboys and in turn have dropped 6 in a row. Emotional letdown, holiday week, cross country game, reeling.

New York Jets -9 over Buffalo Bills
A team going in the opposite direction of the Seahawks is the Bills. They stink right now and lost the one bright spot they had to look at on a weekly basis in Fred Jackson. CJ Spiller has never proven worthy of every down carries and Stevie Johnson gets to hang out this week on Revis Island. In the meantime, New York sports radio stations are blowing up with every Joey, Vito and Vinny calling in to psychoanalyze Mark Sanchez. Rex Ryan’s pulled out his motivational card circa 2010 wherein Mark Brunell takes additional first team reps as the Sanchize (not my term. Most likely Vito’s) watches on. 9 is a huge number and its tough to trust the Jets here since they are only 3-2 ATS at Met Life and are an abysmal 2-4 ATS as the favorite. The sky is falling right now on Gang Green and this is when the Rex lead Jets have seemed to respond over the last 3 years.

Denver Broncos +6 against San Diego Chargers
Remember when this was finally the year the Chargers figured it out? They’d avoided their typical slow start and came out to a red hot 4-1 mark. Then the wheels slowly started falling off and now it looks like the car is heading straight for the cliff. This type of team is always dangerous and the Broncos are certainly capable of throwing up a clunker (see Detroit), but right now Denver is just finding ways to stay in games and win. 6 seems to be a big number when you’re coming to expect Tebow to be leading some Zelda like voyage down the field at the end of the game. The Chargers are 2-8 ATS overall, 1-4 ATS at home and 2-4 ATS as the favorite. Denver is 4-1 ATS on the road and 4-1 ATS under Tebow.

Chicago Bears +4 against Oakland Raiders
Yes, I know Cutler is out, but I am looking at the numbers. Oakland is 6-3-1 ATS overall (wait didn’t you say Chicago +4?), but a closer look reveals that all of that good occurs on the road and as a dog. When focusing on this game what pops out is the Raiders 1-3-1 record ATS at home and their 0-2-1 clip as a favorite. The Bears aren’t a darling dog sitting at 2-3, but the Packers helped them immensely in dismantling the Lions on Thanksgiving day. This game now carries significant weight for both clubs in their race to the playoffs. Expect a lot of Forte and TE check downs with 2 to 3 shots down field just to keep the Silver and Black honest. Caleb Hanie doesn’t need to win the game for the Bears. He can manage a win here and if not I feel like he can manage to lose by a field goal or less.

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaquars under 37.5
This line is low and with Andre Johnson back in the fold to go along with Arian Foster pounding the rock, there are scenarios we can see Houston scoring over 37 on their own. Then we remember Matt Leinart is behind center. Both teams combine for a 16-4 mark on the under in 2011.