Chris Davis is on pace to strikeout 268 times this season. He’s also on pace to hit 39 homers.
Adam Jones is projected to drive in a career-high 123 RBI in 2015.
Manny Machado leads the team with seven errors.
Which of those projections are we most likely to see come true at the end of the 2015 season? Maybe none of them.
At 13-16, the Orioles sit in last place in the AL East, 5.5 games back of the first place New York Yankees. FanGraphs has their playoff odds at 12.6 %.
The O’s have played 29 games this season, only three of them have been against non-AL East teams. One against the White Sox — two of the games were postponed and rescheduled as part of a doubleheader on Thursday May 28. They also played a two-game series against the Mets in New York.
It’s only May 11 and already the Orioles have played seven games against the Red Sox and seven against the Yankees. They’ve played six against the Rays and six against the Blue Jays.
To put it another way, 90 percent of the games the O’s have played this season have been against division opponents.
What do we really know about a team when they play the same teams over and over again? It is really fair to make assumptions about how the next 133 games will go when we’re judging on such a limited sample size?