Week 10 Recap
Well, the sneaker fell off Jabarella in the Survivor Selections for Week 10. Both Indianapolis and Tennessee boned us real good. And I’m guessing if you did make it this far, you are probably done after last week unless you took the Giants.
But on the ATS side of things, your boy is as hot as Scarlett Johansson in her Esquire layout. 8-1 ATS over the past three weeks is just absurd, especially in the NFL. But no time for stroking myself, it’s time to continue the heater.
Week 11: Survivor Selections
1. Seattle Seahawks (-13.5) – This team doesn’t lose in the Great Northwest. Minnesota is awful and looking ahead to the NFL draft. That combination makes it very easy to select the team I think is going to be the NFC #1 seed in the playoffs.
Nuggets: Seattle has won 87% of their games at home over the past 10 years
2. Cincinnati Bengals (-6) – The Bengals are a desperate team. Even a lucky Hail Mary last week at the Bank vs. the Ravens wasn’t enough to stop their 2 game slide. Now a rejuvenated Cleveland Browns team, fresh off a bye, comes to Paul Brown Stadium with Jason Campbell. This Bengals team is just better than the Browns and when you add in the “must win” mentality that Head Coach Marvin Lewis‘ is preaching this week and you get a Bengals win.
3. Indianapolis Colts (-3) – I understand these ass-hats boned us real good last week in their blowout loss to the St. Louis Rams. But if you didn’t use them, this is a good spot based on two things. #1. Andrew Luck is too talented to have back to back poor performances. #2. Tennessee lost to Jacksonville at HOME last week. Enough said.
Week 11 NFL Selections
Kansas City Chiefs (+9.5) – So let me get this straight. The Chiefs are undefeated, coming off a bye week and Peyton Manning is limping around like an old dude at my gym and they are catching a ton of points? This line is a bit fishy, but I’m taking the bait like a Yellow-tail in the Pacific. The Chiefs aren’t as sexy as the above mentioned ScarJo, but all they do is cover (6-3 ATS). Not sure they will win this matchup of AFC West rivals, but I’m pretty confident they make it close.
Nuggets: Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Indianapolis Colts (-3) – The Colts S the bed this past week. They came out as flat as Kelly Ripa and Baltimore’s own Tavon Austin turned it into a track meet. That was last week. As I said before, I don’t anticipate Andrew Luck to repeat his awful performance from last week and I think he does enough to secure a road win. Remember, the Colts are 3-1 on the road and the Titans just lost at HOME to the Jags (not that I’m bitter).
Nuggets: Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Bravehearts/Eagles (Over 53) – This one has the makings of the first to 40 wins. That’s because Nick Foles is putting up Kurt Warner type numbers (16TD-0INT), while RG2.5 is starting to round into shape the last couple weeks. Add in that both of these defenses are pathetic and you have a great recipe for an over. Don’t be scared off by this high total (and get it early) because both of these teams secondaries are abysmal and the Bravebearts have one of the worst special teams in the league.
Nuggets: The over has hit in 4 straight Washington games. The two teams are a combined 12-7 O/U.
The home team made it much tougher than it needed to be last week in their OT win over the Bengals at home. Now, they head to the Windy City to take on the Jay Cutler-less Chicago Bears. The Bears lost at home to the Lions last weekend and will have to turn to their 2nd string QB (Josh McCown) this week after Cutler was dinged again. Both of these teams are in desperate need of this win, but which one can make the necessary plays to do so you ask?
To me it’s the Bears and here’s why. The Ravens are as up and down as the stock market and winning on the road isn’t exactly John Harbaugh’s wheelhouse (.500 in his 5 years). Add in that McCown is one of the more capable backups in the league to the Ravens historically bad running “attack” and you can see why I’m taking the home team in this close one. Bears 23-20.