Each week this degenerate gamer will provide you the reader with some well researched information to assist you with your survivor pool picks as well as your Sunday selections. Send all your hate mail to JabbyBurns@gmail.com.
Week 3: Survivor Selection
Well if you have made it through the first two weeks in your survivor pool, congratulations. And that’s not a sarcastic “congrats”, either. That’s because most survivor participates (donators) typically get sent packing in the first couple weeks. Why, you might ask? Well mostly because you really have no idea who is good, which leads to upsets early in the season (see Philly last week). So who is the selection in week 3?
1. Seattle Seahawks (-19.5) – The ‘Hawks host the Jacksonville Jaguars this coming Sunday in the Great Northwest, where they just basically don’t ever lose. Coming off a thrashing of the 49ers this past Sunday night, I expect a bit of a let down from Pete Carroll’s boys. But it won’t matter. That’s because the Jags are officially the worst team in the NFL and there is a possibility they will be without their only offensive “asset” in MJD due to injury. Of course, if you are one that likes to “save” teams for later on, here are some other possibilities.
2. San Francisco (-10.5) – This team is a great team when coming off a loss. And especially one as bad as the Seahawks put on them. Jim Harbaugh might be a monster douche, but he will have this talented team ready to roll come Sunday at 4 PM. And even though I am a self-appointed Andrew Luck fanboy, this is a bad spot for him and the Colts for two reasons. Their offensive line is awful and the Niners just might be the best pass-rushing team in the NFC. Coming off losses in the 2012 season, the following week the Niners were 5-0 and outscored those opponents 133-39 in those games.
3. Denver Broncos (-14.5) – The Peyton Manning show hosts the Raiders in Denver (prayers to the those affected by the floods in Colorado) next Monday Night. We all know how the Broncos are making it look like a Madden game on offense the first two weeks, but this isn’t your dad’s Raiders team. I’m not saying they win this rivalry game, but I do see Terrelle Pryor making it interesting for bettors laying the 14.5 pts. But if you are looking for another “sure bet” outside of Seattle, this will be a popular pick.
4. Minnesota Vikings (-5) – The Vikings could be 2-0. Instead they make Jim Johnson resemble Mo Riveria at closing games as they have dropped both winnable games with 4th quarter miscues. But they return home to face a better than you think Cleveland Browns team. If only the Browns could find a QB that wouldn’t turn it over, but I don’t see Bernie Kosar walking through that door before Sunday. The Vikings should win this one, but they will make you sweat if you decide to roll the dice on selecting them. Buyer beware…
As someone who has been in the picking games industry for over 20 years, I have some experience in making selections. My mission statement is based on value, home dogs and totals. I’ll try to keep it to three selections per week.
1. Detriot Lions at Washington Redskins – The Washington Redskins defense has been historically bad through the first two weeks of the season, giving up over 1000 yards in the process. Add in the 71 points they have given up and you can see where this selection is headed. No, I’m not taking the Detroit Lions to win at Dead Ex. Instead I anticipate an absolute shootout at Dead Ex. Over 49
NUGGET: The Lions have never beat the Redskins in the District of Columbia in the history of their franchise.
2. Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints – My preseason MVP pick, Drew Brees, and his Saints have started off the season 2-0 thanks to wins over the Falcons and Bucs. They return to the Superdome this week to take on the new look Arizona Cardinals in what could be the one of the most entertaining games on the slate. And what makes NFL games entertaining is points scored and I expect this one to climb over the posted total sometime in the 3rd quarter. Over 49.
NUGGET: In the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the over is 4-0.
3. Buffalo Bills at New York Jets – From one of the most entertaining games of the day, to maybe the worst matchup on the slate, the Buffalo Bills travel to dirty Jersey to take on the Jets. Two rookie QB’s will be featured in EJ Manual and Geno Smith, but I think it will be the Bills other side of the ball that make them my selection +1 this week. The Bills should’ve beaten the Pats in week 1. But last week they stayed close with the Panthers and won it late on a great drive orchestrated by Manual. This Bill’s team is no world beaters by any stretch, but they don’t have to be to handle the Jets. Bills +1.
NUGGET: The road team in this series is 8-3 ATS (Against the spread) in the last 11 meetings.
Extra Pick: Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens – Not a official selection, but I do like the hometown Ravens catching 2.5 points at home vs. the Houston Texans. If you like the Ravens, wait until close to game-time as most of the money will come in the the Texans and you might just get the Ravens and 3 points.