In the spirit of Jimmy the Greek, we’re going to offer you some stone cold locks this football weekend, or, just some spurious guesses based on cursory analysis and casual observation. Either way, this being Baltimore, we thought we’d hear from our favorite wholesale narcotics importer: the man known simply as “The Greek.”
Greek’s 2011 record ATS: 13-12
Greetings readers. I am happy to report that I am above the .500 mark again and my self imposed ban from Baltimore has been lifted! Now my associates and I hope to continue with the positive momentum in a week with a full slate of NFL games. I can hear Sergei pounding away at the database and every now and again a “Fuhgetaboutit!” comes flying out of the back room’s speaker phone. We might just be hitting our groove here. On to Week 10
Cincinnati +3.5 against Pittsburgh Steelers
Home dog/Division game where the dog has been biting anyone betting against them. Cincy is now 7-1 ATS the spread overall, 4-0 ATS as a dog and 2-1 ATS at home. The Steelers on the other hand had this happen to them on Sunday night against Baltimore. The black and yellow are 4-5 ATS overall, 1-3 ATS away from Heinz Field and 3-3 ATS as the favorite. The Bengals can win this game outright so have a look at what the money line is before kick off as well.
Baltimore Ravens -6.5 over Seattle Seahawks
We’ve heard all the same things you have and can see why this has the typical blueprint of a “trap game”. Baltimore has let down after two huge wins this year already. They are heading to Seattle which is notoriously one of the hardest places for a visiting team to play. Cross country trip, etc. We say “Fuhgetaboutit!” Sometimes a huge win against your mortal enemy is the set up for a let down. Other times it is the springboard to a run. Nothing about the numbers truly points toward either team, but we’re smelling a Ravens blowout.
Kansas City -3 over Denver Broncos
The Chiefs made us look quite silly last week getting smashed by the Dolphins, but we’re going back to them in week 10. There is risk involved here as KC is 0-2 ATS as the favorite this year and Denver is 3-1 ATS away from Mile High. Bottom line is Kansas City is a better football team and should get the job done.
Atlanta +1 against New Orleans Saints
Home dog/division game again with first place on the line. New Orleans is 5-4 ATS overall this year with all 4 losses (1-4 ATS) coming away from the Superdome. Atlanta is 2-1 ATS at home and they’ve won 3 straight.
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots under 47.5 points
This isn’t the same Patriots offense that we saw to start the season and the Jets get off to very slow starts. That should be enough to keep this one under. The numbers slightly favor the over as the teams combine for a 9-7 line ATS, but we’re anticipating a little more defense than the odds-makers.