Terrell Suggs Loss: 3.5 Points Allowed Per Game, 2 Wins
By now you know and have had hours to cope with the fact that Terrell Suggs will miss at least a good chunk of the 2012 season with an Achilles tear.
Suggs told ESPN’s Rachel Nichols that he will be back by mid-season. “Definitely beginning of November,” Aaron Wilson tweeted. According to CBSSports.com, that’s a super optimistic timetable for recovery. Will Brinson reports that it’s at least a nine month recovery from a full Achilles tear.
Over at TheBigLead.com, Jason Lisk used some fancy statistics to research what this loss will mean for the Ravens this season.
Twenty-nine other players, via searches using the play finder at pro football reference, have been a first team all-pro on defense since the merger, and then missed ten or more of their team’s games the following season. A handful retired, and of course there was Jerome Brown’s tragic car accident, while the rest suffered injuries.
Lisk concluded that based on the information in this group, the average points allowed per game rose from 17.3 to 20.8 and the average wins per season dropped from 9.8 to 7.9.
He also points out that while some players, like Bruce Smith, Rod Woodson and Ray Lewis, went on to play at a high level, others like Bubba Smith, Keith Millard, John Offerdahl and Bob Sanders, were never the same.
Regardless, the Ravens will need someone to step up. They already lost Jarrett Johnson this offseason so the remaining candidates would be draft selection Courtney Upshaw, Pernell McPhee, Paul Kruger or even Sergio Kindle. It’s now or never for Kindle. If he can’t help the fill the void Suggs leaves behind, his already short lived NFL career is likely over.