In the spirit of Jimmy the Greek, we’re going to offer you some stone cold locks this football weekend, or, just some spurious guesses based on cursory analysis and casual observation. Either way, this being Baltimore, we thought we’d hear from our favorite wholesale narcotics importer: the man known simply as “The Greek.”
Greek’s 2011 Record ATS: 17-22-1
Greetings readers. Another sub par week for The Greek as the Redskins dashed my hopes and turned a possible 3-2 weekend into a 2-3 letdown. Lucky Week 13 brings you a slate of underdogs and if this works you might start reading themed columns every week from here on out. Your wallet will be happy, but I may ask you to wear an ugly sweater while reading in the next few weeks. Onto the picks!
Washington Redskins +3 against New York Jets
I was feeling pretty good about myself with 9 minutes left in the Skins/Seahawks game last week. Then the Redskins crushed my winning week in coming back not only to cover, but to win the game outright! Funny how a week can change my perspective on a team. The Cowboys loss seemed as though it might be crushing, but now appears as if it may have been a springboard type of game since Washington did play well. This is also a pick about which team’s numbers stink more ATS. That honor goes to Gang Green (maybe it is the Meadowlands). The Jets are 4-7 ATS overall, 1-4 away from Jersey, and 2-5 as the favorite.
Denver Broncos +1.5 against Minnesota Vikings
This should be a close one as they all seem to be when the Broncos are involved. Denver 5-1 ATS under Tebow. 5-1 ATS away from Mile High. 5-3 ATS as a dog. Minnesota is 1-3 ATS as a favorite. Not to mention, it’s kinda fun to watch Elway reluctantly clap on the sidelines with that “How the #@!$!% did he win again?!?!” look on his face as you win some change.
Oakland Raiders +3 against Miami Dolphins
I went against the Raiders last week and lost, but that’s not the reason for this pick. As I mentioned in the previous write up, the silver and black have been money on the road and as a dog. They have a 5-0 mark away from the Bay area and are 6-1 as the underdog. Miami does hold a 2-1 mark as a favorite, but are only 2-3 ATS at home.
Cincinnati Bengals +7 against Pittsburgh Steelers
Hi, Islandgirl (at least I hope you are still reading). Anyway, the Bengals are 7-3-1 ATS overall, 5-0-1 away from Paul Brown and 4-1-1 as an underdog. The Steelers do hold a 3-2 mark ATS a home, but have been inconsistent as a favorite with a 4-4 record.
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 against San Diego Chargers
Here is a game where all the numbers stink. San Diego is 2-9 ATS overall, 1-4 ATS on the road and 2-5 ATS as a favorite. Jacksonville doesn’t look much better from their side of the coin either. The Jags hold are 3-7 ATS as an underdog, 2-3 at home and 4-7 overall. There really is no compelling story here when looking strictly at the numbers. However, home dogs on Monday Night usually come out tough and I think the Jaguars win this one outright.
Side note: Jacksonville is where overs go to die. The under is 10-1 this year in games involving the Jags.